Good Morning,
On the heels of yesterday's early soaking (in Central Park, a new record for February 26th was established with 1.56" of liquid), clouds lingered throughout the afternoon and winds did manage to subside, as expected... The temperature in most places managed to stay in the 40s, but there were a handful of places that hit 50, including Newark's Liberty Airport...
Today, we're starting off rather cloudy, and will be keeping an eye on the radar... Although the low pressure system on yesterday morning's surface map has lifted well to the north and east of the Tri-State Area, there's still a very deep, upper-level low pressure system swirling over upstate New York and southeastern Canada...
Therefore, some of the showers which were located in the central Appalachians before daybreak will manage to drift all the way to the coastal plain... Although the rain won't last for very long in any given spot, it would still be a good idea to bring along that umbrella today... Temperatures haven't really dropped off all that much during the night, so it is certainly not out of the question that a couple of places may reach the 50 degree mark this afternoon — despite the widespread nature of these clouds and the hit-or-miss showers...
There's also a slight chance that some of these showers could include some wet snowflakes this morning in some of the higher elevations located well north and west of I-95, but the precipitation would have to come down pretty heavily in order for that to happen, and it just doesn't seem likely... Any shower activity that may still prevail early tonight should wrap up quickly, and there should be partial clearing occurring late... Most low temperatures will be in the 30s...
Tomorrow, there should be at least a few hours of sunshine... But, as we mentioned yesterday, temperatures will begin to trend progressively lower as a trough of low pressure establishes itself in the Eastern U.S. We believe that the air associated with this trough will be cold enough to yield subfreezing temperatures in places as far south as central Florida on Sunday night, but the other thing we want to point out is that there shouldn't be any 'big ticket' storms developing in the eastern half of the nation through the upcoming weekend...
We'll have to keep an eye out for a possible wave that may develop in the Southeast early next week... The global models still are 'at odds' when it comes to what eventually happens to this feature: domestic guidance takes the wave which forms near the Carolinas and pushes it out to sea on Wednesday night, but the European (which has had a 'hot hand' this winter with other storms) shows it moving parallel to the East Coast next Wednesday night and Thursday...
At this point, we don't want to "write a potential storm OFF", but we also don't want to play it up too much, either...
Have a good day!!!
