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A LIttle Snow on the Way for Tonight; A Slippery Commute Thursday!

Snow is Coming Tonight!

 

Good Morning,

The day is starting off dry and chilly, as bubble a high pressure is poised to move off the mid-Atlantic coast during the next few hours... Therefore, under a mostly clear sky and with light winds, most temperatures are starting off in the 20s in the typically colder spots and the 30s in the larger cities and towns...

We should see some early sunshine, but it will begin to fade behind increasing clouds as temperatures slowly climb into the upper 30s and lower 40s...

There's a low pressure system, which was located in northern Alabama very early this morning, which is going to be tracking to the east-northeast today and tonight... And, while we will not have the presence of a strong high pressure system to our north, one that would be able to provide arctic air, we're still anticipating some snow very late today and tonight... The snow should be wet and slushy, and it will probably even mix with —or simply start out as rain when it arrives, but then change over to snow after nightfall...

The bulk of the precipitation should occur between the hours of 8 p.m. and 2 or 3 a.m. - and the liquid equivalent which the models are yielding averages about two-tenths of an inch... The European is only printing out 0.10" in the City, but the G.F.S. has about a third of an inch... Therefore, we're trying to 'strike a compromise' here, knowing of course that this upcoming event will be NOTHING LIKE what happened late last week...

The temperatures will be falling through the 30s tonight to a level near the freezing mark by early tomorrow morning, so this looks to be the kind of case where — if there are any slick spots that develop late tonight or early tomorrow morning, these will be in many of the suburbs... And, because the amount of liquid these models are printing out is even lesser in northwestern New Jersey, the Hudson Valley and nearby Connecticut, it makes perfect sense to believe that these places could struggle to see much more than a coating, or at most, an inch...

The N.W.S. office in Philadelphia/Mt. Holly has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for parts of central and southern New Jersey tonight, from 7 p.m. until 3 a.m. (Ocean and Burlington counties are included in this... This relatively narrow zone, which also includes much of the Greater Philadelphia Metro Area, appears to be located in what will be a "swath" of heavier precipitation...

And therefore, these places, much like some of the areas north of it, will be likely candidates to pick up a few inches of accumulating snow tonight... Once this is all over, and the wave responsible for the snow and rain heads out to sea, clouds tomorrow are expected to break for some sunshine... Temperatures should be mostly in the lower and middle 40s, and Friday will be even milder...

The "jury remains out" on the upcoming weekend... We do believe strongly that it will turning progressively COLDER during the long, Presidents Day holiday weekend, but the concept that some snow may occur on Saturday, Saturday night or Sunday is not really being supported by any of the models...

While these still could change during the next day or two, we'll continue to assume that whatever low pressure system forms should do so out over the open waters of the Atlantic, and will not cause any significant snow, ice or rain around here.

Have a good day!!!

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

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