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Health & Fitness

A Slopfest of Weather is on the Way for the Weekend!

Snow & Rain for the Weekend!

 

Good Morning, 

The axis of a ridge of high pressure early this morning remains in place across eastern Canada and the northeastern United States... This should not only bring a good deal of sunshine today, but it will also provide the Tri-State Area with much less wind than the past couple of days...

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Therefore, even though the temperature may not quite reach 40 on most thermometers, it will feel much better to be outdoors for more than 60 seconds!

There is a fairly potent wave of low pressure located in the Midwest today, and this is the same low pressure system responsible for well over a foot of snow in Kansas and Nebraska... Wichita, Kansas fell just a fraction of an inch shy of their single storm record of 15 inches, which occurred in January of 1962 (officially 14.2)... Now, there's a band of heavy snow which is wrapping around the center of circulation, and it will be causing a few inches of snow in cities like Chicago and Detroit early today... Farther to the south, there has been some severe weather, although the cluster of reports coming out of the Storm Prediction Center shows that the strongest winds, hail and a total of three tornadoes was confined mostly to eastern Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas and southern Mississippi...

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As we go through the course of the day, some high clouds will begin spreading out across the eastern third of the nation in advance of the next round of precipitation... It is still looking like a light mixture of rain and some wet snow will be pressing northeastward along the I-95 corridor tonight -- and it probably won't reach the Tri-State Area until after midnight (based on the consensus timing amongst the various models)... Temperatures should be no lower than the mid 30s in the bigger cities, but will be near or perhaps slightly below freezing in some of the higher elevations north and west... So, we're still not ruling out the possibility of a small accumulation of snow and ice early tomorrow morning, primarily in the Poconos, the Catskills and in the higher elevations of northwestern New Jersey...

However, as moisture continues to stream in from the south tomorrow, we expect temperatures to rise into the lower 40s, both near the surface and aloft... This will change any kind of "wintry mix" over to plain rain early tomorrow, and some of that rain could come down heavily, even if it’s just for a short while, during the afternoon and evening...

Quantitative precipitation amounts are forecasted to be around an inch, and that covers tomorrow, tomorrow night and (in some places) early Sunday morning, and the bulk of that happens in the City after 4 p.m. tomorrow and before 4 a.m. on Sunday... By the time the next low pressure system (a secondary, 'coastal low') fully develops off the shores of Long Island and New Jersey late on Saturday night, the focal point of the heaviest precipitation will be shifting into New England... So, Boston's very impressive snow total (32.0" this month) will be added to later this weekend...

There should be some gusty winds on Sunday as the storm east of Cape Cod continues to deepen, and any residual rain or wet snow that occurs in the morning should end quickly from west to east... Winds gusting to near 40 miles per hour will be accompanied by some sunshine on Sunday afternoon...

Early next week, temperatures should be mainly in the 40s (perhaps no higher than the upper 30s in some of the typically colder spots), and we'll have a couple of opportunities to see some rain, especially on Tuesday and Tuesday night... Another storm could bring some impacts later next week...

Have a good weekend!!!

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