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Health & Fitness

It Feels LIke Early August Rather Than Early September!

A Fall-Like Feel on the Way to the Greenwich Area!

 

Strong Thunderstorms are Possible Saturday Night with an Early Fall-Like Cold Front!

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A couple of showers and embedded heavier thunderstorms were occurring in northern and central Pennsylvania very early this morning... Most, but not necessarily all of them were occurring north of Interstate-80 as of this writing... And, with a weak front still expected to drift across the Northeast today, we must allow for a shower and thunderstorm in a couple of spots...

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Given recent radar trends, most of these could impact areas north and west of I-95 early this morning, but would probably impact some of the big, coastal cities and the beaches after 10 or 11a.m. --- if they manage to hold together... Most high temperatures will be in the mid and upper-80s this afternoon, and it'll still be rather humid...

An extensive cloud shield yesterday was a limiting factor on afternoon temperatures, which is something that can 'sneak up on you' this time of year... Even though the old front caused most of its showers and heavier thunderstorms in Maryland, South Jersey and Delaware, there were a few sprinkles that managed to creep into eastern Pennsylvania around 8 or 9 o'clock in the morning...

Then, after that, the southern Tier counties of upstate New York and northern Pennsylvania started getting hit by strong thunderstorms in the afternoon... But the cities located near I-95 weren't as sunny as anticipated, and therefore, much closer to 80 degrees rather than near 90...

The next big feature that we'll be tracking over the next 48 hours is a wave of low pressure currently located in the central Plains, which will be dragging a potent cold front into the eastern third of the nation tomorrow... Ahead of this front, there'll be a strong southwesterly flow of air, which will transport warm and moist air northward along the East Coast... And, since the Storm Prediction Center has placed an area that extends from northern New England down to the Carolinas in their "slight risk" area for severe weather, there appears to be enough evidence to back up the claim that any of tomorrow's thunderstorms may contain potentially damaging wind

gusts and some hard downpours... This activity will probably start to develop over the central Appalachians between the hours of 2 and 4 p.m. tomorrow afternoon before reaching the big cities between 4 and 10 p.m. -- and a few tornadoes cannot even be ruled out... Rainfall totals across the region should be mostly between 0.25 and 0.50", based on the quantitative precipitation totals which are being generated by the various global models... But, if this front were to move more slowly than what we're anticipating, or any of the individual thunderstorm cells move at less than 20 or 25 mph, there can be rainfall exceeding one inch - and possible flooding issues...

If there is any GOOD NEWS to come out of the weekend forecast, it is that there is now a greater level of confidence that the aforementioned front will be moving at a fast enough pace to bring an end to all of

these showers and thunderstorms by early Sunday morning... The only possible exceptions would include eastern portions of Long Island and New England, but even those spots would probably only get a shower or thunderstorm prior to 8 a.m. on Sunday...

It'll be turning breezy and much less humid behind this frontal passage, and most temperatures on Sunday afternoon will be in the 70s... Sunday night should turn out partly cloudy to clear and cool with less wind -- and most temperatures outside of the big cities will either wind up in the 50s, or even the upper-40s in some of those typically cooler spots... With a mixture of sun and clouds Monday and a decent amount of sunshine Tuesday, highs both days should be generally in the 70s...

Don't forget, "Lesile" in the Atlantic will also still be causing some strong rip currents and rough surf along the East Coast for the next several days...

Have a good weekend!!

 

 

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