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Quiet Weather Through Saturday, Great for Viewing the Geminids!

Quiet through Saturday!

 

 

Good Morning,

A fairly large high pressure system this morning was centered over north-central Pennsylvania (as of 3:15 a.m.), and it'll provide the region with some dry weather over the next couple of days…

Meanwhile, the wave of low pressure which has been producing rain along the Carolina Coast and in other parts of the Southeast recently is still responsible for covering areas from southern and central New England through eastern and central Virginia with a shield of high, thin clouds early this morning… While these clouds have prevented it from getting as cold overnight as it would have in most places if the sky had turned out clear, these will still need to be covered for a while this morning, before we see the sun come out in earnest…

And, those places which are located farther inland should encounter total clearing for sunshine before most coastal communities do… Temperatures will be mostly in the 40s today, and tonight will wind up in the 20s in most of the typically colder outlying areas and the 30s along the coast and in most of the bigger cities…

After a chilly start, tomorrow should be a little milder, with plenty of sunshine to both start and finish the day… High temperatures will be within a couple of degrees of 50 in the afternoon… Beyond that, there will be some sunshine early Saturday as a ridge of high pressure remains planted near the mid Atlantic coast during the morning… But, as this begins to slide off shore later in the day and at night, a wave of low pressure located in the Midwest is going to start to drift to the east-northeast… In all likelihood, Saturday will end on a cloudier note, and then as a warm front reaches the central and northern Appalachians on Saturday night, some light and spotty precipitation will start to break out after midnight…

As we stated yesterday, there still is the potential for precipitation to start out as a little wet snow or sleet before dawn on Sunday, and some frozen precipitation may even last for a few hours in several interior locations… Most temperatures on Sunday afternoon will be in the 40s, and there is a good chance for at least some rain—which shouldn't be very heavy…

The rumors swirling for the past couple of days about a big coastal storm during the middle of next week have be substantiated, based on the solutions of various global models since the start of the week… But of course, what we must keep in mind whenever we see solutions like these from eight or nine days out is that there is a tendency for most of the details (both small and larger ones) to change over time…

One of the things we're noticing this morning is that the pattern does not feature any significant 'blocking' early next week, which would lend itself to allowing a strong wave to form along the Southeast Coast… The G.F.S. is definitely showing the 'most progressive look', pushing a series of waves across the country that lead to two widespread precipitation events in the East: one starting on Sunday that lasts into Monday morning, and the second getting started on Tuesday and ending very early Wednesday…

However, the European and Canadian GGEM models "hold that second system back", burying it in the Carolinas Tuesday night before it moves parallel to the mid Atlantic coast on Wednesday before it heads out to sea on Thursday… This second feature, as well as just how rapidly it develops and deepens, will hold the key in determining whether a big coastal storm will be impacting the region during the middle of next week…

With a lack of consensus amongst these form guidance at this time, we'll need to continue to cover these various possibilities…

Have a good day!!!

 

This post is contributed by a community member. The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Patch Media Corporation. Everyone is welcome to submit a post to Patch. If you'd like to post a blog, go here to get started.

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