Sunny & Chilly Again with a Little Warm-up Into the Weekend! Coastal Storm Stays Away

Good Morning, 

While a weak ripple of low pressure is moving towards the Carolinas early today, the current weather map is also showing a very large ridge of high pressure that is located in eastern Canada...

In fact, this high pressure is 'driving a wedge' southward along the spine of the Appalachians... So, with a plentiful supply of dry air in place, we'll be precipitation-free today, tonight and tomorrow...

But, there's no denying that current satellite imagery indicates that a band of high and mid-level clouds will continue sliding across the mid Atlantic states, and it should also spread into areas as far north and southern New England as the morning unfolds...

One of the necessary adjustments that was made to the forecast by yesterday's afternoon and evening crews was to 'play up' cloud cover today, while also allowing for sunny intervals...

That forecast still seems very reasonable early this morning, given recent satellite trends... And, this cloud cover has also allowed for most temperatures overnight to 'stabilize' somewhat... A few of them have actually started to rise just a bit because of the presence of these clouds...

Temperatures this afternoon will be no higher than the mid or upper 40s, although it can briefly touch 50 (like it did yesterday in Philadelphia) in some cities located near or to the south of the Mason-Dixon Line...

Tonight, even the sky may be partly cloudy early, the prevailing thoughts are that some low clouds will be returning to much of the coastal plain after midnight... The dry weather is going to persist into the upcoming weekend, with the bulk of the East's unsettled weather residing in the Carolinas for the next several days...

However, unlike last weekend, when temperatures made a significant 'jump' on Sunday afternoon, we don't expect these to change all that much from one day to the next...

This brings us to the much talked-about potential for a significant coastal storm late this weekend and early next week... We're going to have to make a few things clear — the global models are reaching a fairly solid consensus at this point (at least when you examine recent runs of all domestic forms of guidance, as well as the European and the Canadian/GGEM) that this storm, after it forms east of Cape Hatteras, N.C., will remain well out at sea early next week...

And, while there still might be considerable clouds on Monday and Tuesday near the I-95 corridor, as well as a touch of rain or some drizzle because of the fairly deep, easterly flow of air coming in off of the Atlantic — the 'worst effects' of this storm, including its wind and rain, should remain offshore...

That "long fetch", or persistent easterly flow will cause some large ocean swells, and these may have some impact on many of the beaches which have already been left vulnerable because of "Sandy" and last week's Nor'easter...

So, minor coastal flooding and further beach erosion are still issues that are "on the table", but for so many of us who will be traveling next week during the days which lead up to Thanksgiving, the weather doesn't look as if it will be playing a "spoiler" role — at least not at this point.

Have a great day!